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Macro intelligence focused on rates, risk, credit conditions, labor, inflation, and bonds.
Data as of:2025-10-01
Last updated:
Source:Cabinet Office (via FRED)
Status:LIVE
Macro intelligence focused on rates, risk, credit conditions, labor, inflation, and bonds.
As of December 2025, growth momentum is improving with GDP at 0.33%. Inflation at 3.00% is above the BoJ's 2% target. The BoJ maintains a tightening stance.
Bank of Japan raised rates by 25 bps to 0.73%. With inflation at 3.0%, restrictive policy may continue.
As of December 2025, growth momentum is improving with GDP at 0.33%. Inflation at 3.00% is above the BoJ's 2% target. The BoJ maintains a tightening stance.
Yield curve not available
Found 1 valid tenor (need at least 2 to plot)
Available: 10Y: 2.35%
Government Revenue vs. Expenditure (Trillions JPY)
Variable follows prime; fixed follows bond yields + spreads. See Rate Transmission for details.
Scenario-based macro commentary, not financial advice.
Data refresh in progress for: Policy Rate, Inflation, Unemployment, GDP, Yield Curve.
Bank of Japan has set the policy rate at 0.728%. The most recent action was a 1 basis point cut. Inflation at 3.00% is near the typical 2% target.
Growth is subdued at 0.33%. The labor market remains tight with unemployment at 2.60%.
Sources: Bank of Japan (via FRED), Statistics Bureau (Dec 2025), Cabinet Office (via FRED)
Data is aggregated from primary national statistical agencies. 'Regime' is a proprietary calculated metric based on growth, inflation, and policy stance indicators.
Read full methodologyBorrower fit guidance only. See Mortgage Rate Outlook for rate scenarios.
| Year | GDP | Debt/GDP | C/A | Savings | Budget | CPI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | ¥600T | 255% | +3.5% | 4% | -5.8% | 2.8% |
| 2023 | ¥590T | 260% | +3.2% | 4% | -6.5% | 3.3% |
| 2022 | ¥560T | 262% | +2.1% | 5% | -6.8% | 2.5% |
| 2021 | ¥550T | 265% | +3.5% | 8% | -7.5% | -0.2% |
| 2020 | ¥540T | 258% | +3.2% | 11% | -10.3% | 0.0% |
Annual data typically lags 1–2 years. Rows marked Forecast are IMF projections. One year changes may not reflect the underlying trend — compare across 3–5 years.
Data sourced from World Bank. This is a Tier B (3-sector) breakdown. Japan has a strong manufacturing sector, particularly automotive (Toyota, Honda), electronics, and machinery. Services include trade, finance, and a large public sector. More detailed industry breakdown available from Statistics Japan.